{
  "_meta": {
    "fixture_version": "v0.36.1.0",
    "page": "daily-2026-04-18.md",
    "synthetic": true,
    "holdout": true,
    "notes": "Daily-journal holdout. Tests propose_takes handling of probabilistic framing ('75/25 in favor') and explicit conviction self-tagging ('call it ~0.5')."
  },
  "claims": [
    {
      "claim_text": "acme-example hits meaningful ARR milestone by year-end",
      "kind": "prediction",
      "domain": "company-specific",
      "conviction": 0.75,
      "since_date": "2026-04-18",
      "rationale": "Explicit '75/25 in favor' probabilistic framing"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "widget-co has 2 quarters of runway before emergency raise",
      "kind": "prediction",
      "domain": "company-specific",
      "conviction": 0.7,
      "since_date": "2026-04-18",
      "rationale": "'I think' + concrete timeline + supporting signals"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "At least one fund-b portfolio company folds by Q3",
      "kind": "prediction",
      "domain": "fund-portfolio",
      "conviction": 0.65,
      "since_date": "2026-04-18",
      "rationale": "'I expect' = moderate conviction"
    },
    {
      "claim_text": "Vertical-SaaS IPO window reopens by Q2 2027",
      "kind": "prediction",
      "domain": "market-cycle",
      "conviction": 0.5,
      "since_date": "2026-04-18",
      "rationale": "Explicit self-tagged conviction ('call it ~0.5')"
    }
  ]
}